Here's a post from the latest North American Menopause Society's First to Know site. Bruce Ettinger is an osteoporosis expert. See what you think of his comments about this recent article. -- SG
BTMs to predict BMD response
Burnett-Bowie SA, Saag K, Sebba A, et al. Prediction of
changes in bone mineral density in postmenopausal
women treated with once-weekly bisphosphonates.
J Clin Endocrinol Metab 2009 Jan 13 [Epub ahead of
print] Level of evidence: II-2.
Abstract copyright © 2009 The Endocrine Society. All
rights reserved. Used with permission.
BACKGROUND: In clinical practice, bone
mineral density (BMD) determined by DXA is
used to monitor response to osteoporosis
therapy. However, 1 to 2 years are usually
required to assess patients’ BMD responses.
The possibility of earlier indicators of a
response or non-response to treatment, such as
changes in bone turnover markers (BTMs), is
of interest to physicians and patients.
METHODS: In this post-hoc analysis of
women treated with once-weekly bis-
phosphonates, we examined the association of
tertile percent change from baseline in BTMs at
3 or 6 months, and association of several
baseline clinical characteristics, with 24-month
percent change from baseline in BMD, and
with percentage of patients showing BMD non-
response (defined as BMD loss at 2 or more of
4 sites) at 24 months. Multivariable analysis
was performed to determine which factors were
associated with BMD non-response.
RESULTS: Patients in the tertile with the
greatest decrease in each of the BTMs had the
greatest mean increase in BMD and the lowest
percentage of BMD nonresponders at 24
months. Several characteristics were
independently associated with BMD non-
response including smaller 3-month reductions from baseline in CTX, bone ALP, and PINP,
younger age of menopause, a family history of
osteoporosis, and higher baseline trochanteric
BMD. Baseline BTMs were not predictive of 24-
month BMD response to therapy. The strongest
associations were for changes in BTMs with
treatment. CONCLUSION: In groups of patients,
short term changes in markers of bone turnover
appear to be predictors of longer term BMD
response and non-response to bisphosphonate
therapy.
Comment. It has been over 15 years that BTMs
have been commercially available—yet few
practitioners ever use these tests in management
of osteoporosis. There was high hope that BTMs
would be useful for individual patients in several
ways including: 1) determining fracture risk and
need for treatment; 2) determining what kind of
drug to use; and 3) encouraging adherence and
persistence with therapy.
This report adds to our general skepticism about
application of BTMs to individual patients. Even
using group data (with more power to find
associations), the authors failed to find that
baseline BTM values predicted response to
bisphosphonate (BP) treatment among compliant
users after 2 years. Furthermore, change between
baseline and 3-6 month BTM values showed only
weak associations with 2-year bone density
changes.
Typically, studies of BMD in clinical trials of BP
indicate a 90% response rate; in this paper,
alendronate users had an 88% BMD response
rate. Thus, the number of poor responders that
could ideally be found by a perfect BTM test
would be about 1 in 10. But, as the current article
shows, BTM tests have poor specificity and
sensitivity when applied to patients starting BPs.
This is not new. Delmas et al,1 using NTx, found
that about one third of patients starting on BP did
not decrease NTx the expected 30%—a lot of
false positives.
BTMs have been useful in research, but for
several reasons are not worth the trouble in
practice. First, the cost: in the range of $140 to
$150 per test (double this when getting baseline
and 3-6 month follow-up). Second, the
inconvenience for patients: requiring morning
12-hour fasting blood sampling. Third, the low
predictive value: in this paper, the correlation
coefficient between BTM and BMD was only
-0.25, meaning that only 6% of the variance in
the BMD increase could be predicted from the
BTM decrease. Finally, investigators who have
examined feedback of BTM results on patients’
drug persistence have found no difference
between giving BTM results and simply
contacting and supporting those patients newly
starting.1
It is no wonder that NAMS and other expert
societies have not recommended to clinicians
that they use BTMs to make early treatment
decisions in individual patients.
Bruce Ettinger, MD
Clinical Professor of Medicine and Radiology
University of California, San Francisco
San Francisco, CA
Certified NAMS Menopause Practitioner
Reference:
Delmas PD, Vrijens B, Eastell R, et al. Effect of
monitoring bone turnover markers on persistence with
risedronate treatment of postmenopausal osteoporosis.
J Clin Endocrinol 2007;92:1296-1304.
1 comment:
I agreed with Ettinger, and to make it worse much of the data in this niche area is frankly fraudulent
http://scientific-misconduct.blogspot.com
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